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October 10, 2003

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PAGE 12 HERITAGE FLORIDA JEWISH NEWS, OCTOBER 10, 20(~ ,r--some warn By Leslie Susser Israel was caught unprepared tional leadership is so locked Thereporthighlightsthefact by an Egyptian and Syrian at- into a "conceptzia"--a shared that in the recent land war in JERUSALEM (JTA)--Thirtytack and suffered heavy losses strategic concept that deter- Iraq, the United States and its years after the traumatic Yom in the first few days of fighting, minestheleaders'worldview-- allies needed just four military Kippur War, Israel's military After the initial setbacks, that they ma~ be misreading divisionstodefeat23Iraqidivi- superiority over the Arabs is Israel's ultimate victory--the reality and ignoring opportu- sions. That, the report says, greater than ever. war ended only after the Soviet nities for peace, drove home to the Arab states That, at least, is the assess- Union threatened to intervene Some now warn that the as- the huge disparity between the ment of Tel Aviv University's tostop Israeli tanks from rum- sessment in the Jaffee Center quality of modern Western prestigious Jaffee Center for bling into Cairo and Dam- report reflect~ a similar, mis- armies and their own. Strategic Studies. In its annual ascus--was as impressive as its placed confidence. That has two major implica- report, the think tank cites the success in previous engage- Commentingon the report's tions for Israel, the report says: quality of Israel's weapons sys- ments with the Arab nations, claim that Israel is now better * By defeating Iraq on the terns and the U.S.-led victory Still,Arabcountriesconsider offstrategicallythanatanytime battlefield, the United States in Iraq as reasons for a major thewaramonumentalvictory, in its history, the military ana- wipedoutthebiggestArabarmy strategic shift in Israel's favor, and many Israelis consider it a lystfor theMa'ariv newspaper, in the Middle Eastand nullified Butthereportacknowledges defeat of sorts-- primarily be- AmirRapaport, observedwryly the possibility of an eastern- that Israel still faces major causeitpuncturedIsrael'saura that "the last time we boasted front coalition of Iraq, Syria threats from terrorism and of invincibility following the that things were never better and Jordan, united against Is- nonconventional weapons. 1967 Six-Day War. was in the autumn of 1973." rael; * Since Israel has many of AndsomeanalystswarnthatThe shock of the Yom Kip- One of the Middle East's main thesamecapabilitiesastheU.S. the report's talk of Israel's su- pur War left deep scars on the problems is its instability, military--notjustAmericanor periority and strategic gains national psyche that affect Is- Rapaport noted. Western weaponry, but supe- could lead to the same type of raelis even today. "What seems crystal clear riorcontrol-and-commandsys- complacency that cost Israel Foremost among them is a today could change totally to- terns, real-time intelligence sodearlyinthe 1973war, when gnawing anxiety that the ha- morrow," he warned, gatheringfacilitiesandsoon-- Q Family Owned Since 1954 Open Sundays 9 a.m.- 3 p.m. Mon-Sat 7:30 a.m. - 6 p.m. Polaris. Hayward. Starite Same Day Service Available On Pumps * Filters * Heaters Weekly Pool Service Equipment Repair Automatic Pool Cleaners Pool Supplies Chlorine Generators I on any I service call I 631 N. Orlando Ave. (17-92) Maitland photo courtesy of GPO/BP Israeli soldiers take cover on the Golan Heights as planes start strafing runs during the Yom Kippur War. For Sara and Miriam, Israel is home. Their parents home for generations to come. They are the future of settled in the Negev over 30 years ago. Sara and Miriam Israel. And they need your help now. know everything there is about this region. Except for one JNF has been the caretaker of the land of Israel on thing. How can they continue living here without behalf of Jewish people everywhere for over a century. water? A 12-year drought has ravaged Israel, especially the JNF's water projects have significantly increased Negev. Unless water is provided soon, Sara, Miriam and Israel's water resources through reservoir and dam young people like them will not be able to call it home construction, river rehabilitation, water conservation much longer, and recycling. But much more still needs to be done. We Jewish National Fund has pledged to build 75 can do it. All we need is for you to do your part. Please life-sustaining reservoirs throughout Israel and the give generously. Together, we can make the desert Negev, so young families can continue calling Israel bloom and our people flourish. sophisticated methods to fight it, the report suggests. To donate, call your local JNF office at 1-888-JNF-O099 or visit Or mail your contribution to: JNF, Israel Forever Campaign, 42 East 69th St New York, NY 10021 Name Phone JNF, for = City State 7JP ISRAEL Donations [-] Check enclosed or chorge my: I--I VISA [-] MasterCard [-] AMEX I-'l Discover JEWISH NATIONAL FUND forever. ] ACCt.#. Exp. clate Signature I-]Please sencl me information about including JNF in my will. o~ I--IPlease designate my donation to JNF's critical water projects in Israel. Congibut~s are tax-deductible. the allied victory enhanced But Brom warns that Israel'sowndeterrentposture. Israeli government is not Shlomo Brom, a former pared, aslong deputy head of planning in the continue Israel DefenseForces and one mantling settlements in ofthereport'sauthors, observes West Bank and Gaza Strip. that Israel's standing army is "Only the U.S. could not only far bigger than the something," Brom says, American force used in Iraq, its commitment is but also has many of the same second big issue for Israel is battle systems, nonconventional weapons. A " Therefore, Bromconcludes, cording to Ephraim Karl, the one remaining eastern- Jaffee s deputy director, IraniS front foe--Syria, which is only three to four years weaker in land forces than Iraq fromproducing was--"would have no chance andisemergingaslsrael's"ne~4 inamilitaryconfrontationwith main problem." Kam says Ira~ Israel." Brom says the war also is not only closer than ever to helped Israel's strategic pos- nuclear capability, but thereiS ture by enhancing American a sigfiificant increase in Iran'S deterrence, underlining the involvement in terroris Arabworld'sfragmentationand against Israel. increasing pressure on Iran, Yoram Schweitzer, Syria and Hezbollah to stop Jaffee researcher, takes fomenting violence against Is- analysis a step further, war " rael and the West. ing of the threat of But the Jaffee researchers armed with nonconw acknowledge that some of weapons. Israel's new strategic gains de- The war in Iraq did pend on whether the United to advance the fight States manages to stabilize the international terror, regime in Iraq or whether it "AI-Qaida still has getsbogged down. If the latter cantandprovencapabilities( happens, some oflsrael's gains carrying out mass could be wiped out, they .say. Schweitzer says. Still, Brom maintains that bin Laden the man is the eradication of the eastern dated, Al-Qaida will not be dv threat provides a rare opportu- feated.AndAl-Qaida could t~" nity to downsize the Israeli get Israel too." According to army. the Jaffee figures, Israel Thereis"awindowofoppor- 538 warplanes, nearly tunity to review the IDF's real tanks, 8, needs," he says. about 630,000 soldiers, Brom says the IDF should field guns and 236 nowbeaskingwhetherit really ters. needs so many tank divisions. Syriacanmore And he suggests that the IDF thisforsize, butnotfor could save huge sums of money Egypt, which also by shutting down production weaponry, and development of Israel's own Merkava 4 tank, considered by and intelligence systems. many experts to be the most Ironically, the Jaffee advanced of its kind in the came out just days before world. 30th anniversary of the The defense establishment war against remainsunconvinced, however, Then, too, the arguingthatscalingdownland- military theory was that based forces could encourage was far stronger than anyc an enemy to attack. Thus, de- bination of its enemies. spiteitscostandthecutsinnext "conceptzia" on which year's defense budget, the based its securit~ Merkava project still is on. was that no country or The Jaffee report suggests tries would dare that, given the changed strate- gic situation, Israel should fo- The initial cus less on threats from con- tian gains in the war ventional weapons and more partly because their on terrorism and joint attack, on the nonconventional warfare. Is- in the Jewish calendar, rael should brace for terrorism Israel by surprise. and spend more on developing Israeli intelligence had warned of the that a war was brewir The report also sees no end country's leaders had been in sight to the Palestinian by the United States intifada" Onthe ntrary' Br m launcha says, Palestinian society is in they had done in 1967. an advanced state of disinte- gration, and therefore no Pal- the war in Iraq--from estinian government is ready Israel supposedly has to act against terrorism, so much benefit--is That, some left-wing Israe- over. lis warn, is precisely the type of '3Nha "conceptzia" that prevents the if the government from seizing the Iraq with its tail between initiative and making the Pal- legs, as it did from estinians a generous peace of- Rapaport asks. fer that might induce them to For Israel lay down their arms. be dire. Forestry Water Community Development Security Education Research Tourism & Recreation